Creative-Heir
0x6d1f2982b71f92879a4747899d7de6227b53890d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-25.26
Realised
$4.65
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
291 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$289.70
$6.77
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
167 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$154.46
$1.57
- NO
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?
108 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$107.11
$0.98
- NO
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
66 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$65.69
$0.89
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$50.30
$0.30
- NO
Trump out as President by May 31?
50 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
46 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.22
$0.15
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
41 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$40.61
$0.89
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?
36 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$36.10
$0.27
- NO
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May?
36 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.59
$0.59
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.01May 18, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$13.42May 18, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMGame 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?$42.46May 18, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMFirst Blood in Game 2?$49.05May 18, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMTotal Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?$5.00May 18, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMMap Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)$49.05May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$13.39May 18, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)$13.39May 18, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$1.06May 18, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$1.04May 18, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 17, 2026?$5.83May 17, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?$4.95May 17, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.78May 17, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?$42.42May 17, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$20.00May 17, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst Blood in Game 2?$49.00May 17, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Team Heretics (+2.5)$49.00May 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$20.00May 17, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMGame Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)$180.42May 17, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $27.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".