0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781
0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$9.7K
Total PnL
$241.25
Realised
$402.27
Win rate
94%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
750 shares @ 91.8¢·now 90.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$679.50
$-9.15
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
636 shares @ 80.3¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$553.69
$42.58
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
505 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$472.54
$2.50
- NO
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
448 shares @ 94.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$438.81
$15.46
- NO
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
500 shares @ 80.2¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$414.58
$13.85
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?
325 shares @ 79.7¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$263.01
$4.31
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$257.10
$250.10
- NO
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?
250 shares @ 91.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$241.37
$11.88
- NO
Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?
250 shares @ 90.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$240.00
$14.10
- YES
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$237.50
$-87.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?$74.34May 18, 05:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4.95May 17, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$4.95May 17, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.00May 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$10.00May 17, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$10.00May 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?$4.78May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?$5.58May 17, 13:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?$15.49May 15, 06:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$0.00May 14, 15:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$0.18May 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$0.16May 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$0.02May 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Kasky be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$0.02May 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?$10.00May 13, 03:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $26.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".