Kindly-Kettledrum
0x6d715ae808e1bff0345ac1394af3f77f0d8587d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$421.18
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$2.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
350 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$344.40
$18.90
- NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.75
$8.75
- NO
Will Aster dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 37.9¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.56
$2.77
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.47
$-1.53
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?
2835 shares @ 82.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
602 shares @ 94.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-566.59
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 January 26-1?
555 shares @ 98.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-547.23
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
500 shares @ 93.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-466.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?
444 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-432.90
- YES
Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?
240 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-143.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$63.76Mar 11, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $90 in January?$175.00Feb 6, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $50 in January?$175.00Feb 6, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 in January?$175.00Feb 6, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$200.00Feb 6, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?$244.17Feb 6, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?$350.00Feb 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$444.00Feb 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 26-1?$666.00Feb 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.40 in January?$700.00Feb 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?$700.00Feb 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$952.40Feb 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?$999.00Feb 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in January?$1.2KFeb 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $150 in January?$1.2KFeb 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$1.3KFeb 6, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $110 in January?$0.00Jan 31, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?$0.00Jan 31, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$0.00Jan 30, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$0.00Jan 30, 02:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $190.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".