Ill-Fated-Alien
0x6d8c602a087dcd47938514fedbc684dec56cb79a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$671.10
Realised
$178.14
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by May 31, 2026?
721 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$691.26
$114.60
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
560 shares @ 70.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$517.82
$122.72
- NO
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?
529 shares @ 77.8¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$454.73
$43.57
- NO
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?
395 shares @ 78.5¢·now 94.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$371.69
$61.51
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
327 shares @ 73.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$317.02
$78.24
- NO
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?
268 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$233.46
$10.58
- NO
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
218 shares @ 67.1¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$203.04
$56.73
- NO
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?
92 shares @ 87.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$80.04
$-0.42
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.50
$-10.50
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?
61 shares @ 74.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$52.16
$7.01
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.38May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$5.30May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$48.08May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$47.52May 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?$1.96May 16, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?$2.43May 16, 06:16 UTC
- REWARD$3.79May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?$168.00May 15, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?$36.96May 15, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?$6.75May 15, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?$29.13May 15, 07:55 UTC
- REWARD$3.00May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$268.80May 14, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$179.52May 14, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?$97.20May 14, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?$21.00May 14, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?$100.30May 14, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$1.62May 14, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$0.61May 14, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$1.46May 14, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $49.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".