Exemplary-History
0x6d930c5e4d2057cf63d0533744eb6e6a6a08f70a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-813.93
Realised
$-54.96
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
937 shares @ 32.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$365.43
$65.43
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
366 shares @ 54.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$356.06
$156.06
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2154 shares @ 9.7¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$299.46
$89.46
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
714 shares @ 42.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$282.14
$-17.86
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$263.89
$163.89
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
1050 shares @ 47.6¢·now 22.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$231.02
$-268.98
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.25
$56.25
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
362 shares @ 35.2¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$139.41
$11.91
- YES
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
481 shares @ 22.9¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.61
$-23.39
- YES
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
83 shares @ 89.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$82.89
$7.89
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$47.94May 16, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$100.00May 16, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.35May 16, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$10.27May 16, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$10.25May 16, 16:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$112.91May 11, 14:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$18.72May 10, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$20.80May 10, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$127.63May 10, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$102.00May 10, 12:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $72.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".