Focused-Half
0x6d9374d15369da96786da839160c3d181b5c7f30
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$92.87
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
887 shares @ 65.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$669.68
$93.13
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
433 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$433.00
$52.39
- CEARÁ SC
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
693 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$346.50
$0.00
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
238 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$163.03
$20.23
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
97 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$97.00
$11.64
- YES
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
14 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.78
$0.14
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
28 shares @ 39.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.36
$-7.56
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.74
$-0.06
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
30 shares @ 56.9¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.44
$-15.63
- YES
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
12 shares @ 27.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$55.80Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$161.20Apr 23, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$576.55Apr 23, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$148.26Apr 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$144.48Apr 13, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?$21.59Apr 12, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?$3.36Apr 12, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$116.20Apr 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$16.38Apr 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$702.00Apr 11, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$29.77Apr 11, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$47.52Apr 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$8.07Apr 11, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?$113.64Apr 11, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$747.00Apr 11, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$87.60Apr 11, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$1.82Apr 10, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Invasion" on Truth Social this week?$151.48Apr 10, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$264.86Apr 10, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$346.50Apr 10, 13:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $169.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".