Ignorant-Baobab
0x6d99a49a83af30a7f15a6ddde5a3f64cac292dd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$328.47
Total PnL
$-64.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
278 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$278.44
$0.56
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
70 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$277.92Apr 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?$10.00Apr 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?$10.00Apr 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 16, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$10.00Apr 16, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 16, 08:22 UTC
- REWARD$1.12Mar 25, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.01Mar 24, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$70.61Mar 24, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$10.14Mar 24, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$12.20Mar 24, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$12.31Mar 24, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$20.22Mar 24, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$72.67Feb 7, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$12.00Feb 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$20.00Feb 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$12.00Feb 7, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$11.01Feb 7, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?$11.02Feb 7, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".