Spherical-Mistake
0x6def185aff485a74124d08d838dd80697ab87096
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$72.73
Total PnL
$-175.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
100 shares @ 51.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$42.50
$-9.00
- YES
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
333 shares @ 6.7¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.50
$-4.83
- NO
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.50
$-6.50
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.3% or less in May?
492 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.97
$-0.49
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in May?
266 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.93
$0.13
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in May?
202 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.91
$0.10
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in May?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in May?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.63
$-0.38
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in May?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.63
$-0.38
- YES
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in May?
54 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.30
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.9% in May?$0.09May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.8% in May?$0.12May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in May?$0.12May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.7% in May?$1.00May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.6% in May?$1.00May 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.5% in May?$0.91May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.9% in May?$0.74May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.8% in May?$0.10May 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.5% in May?$0.09May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in May?$0.40May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in May?$0.05May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in May?$0.25May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.3% or less in May?$2.58May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$9.33May 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$22.50May 17, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$29.00May 16, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$0.00May 16, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$0.00May 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$2.60May 15, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?$0.14May 12, 09:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".