Slow-Manifestation
0x6df1bd42411b29f0d263f58da72c9efdfa54ea12
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$24.7K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-2.4K
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 35.2¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.9K
$2.1K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4718 shares @ 70.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$-105.12
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.2K
$25.00
- YES
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
2561 shares @ 50.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$1.2K
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
20000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$100.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25000 shares @ 8.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.1K
$-37.50
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
3895 shares @ 50.3¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$-33.40
- NO
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
1837 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$360.97
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 78.4¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.3K
$-272.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$774.99
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.2KMay 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.53May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.60May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$11.96May 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.60May 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$17.07May 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$17.05May 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.04May 18, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.04May 18, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.00May 18, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.02May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.03May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.10May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.01May 18, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.08May 18, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.00May 18, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.83May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.22May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.01May 18, 01:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $67.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".