Carefree-Sauerkraut
0x6e131d6c61216b4a5ec571db332ad3226e7fa801
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$60.1K
Total PnL
$177.67
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
36192 shares @ 67.2¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$25.5K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21439 shares @ 44.5¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$16.1K
$6.5K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16666 shares @ 64.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$10.6K
$-138.49
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
23749 shares @ 36.7¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.0K
$-1.7K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1267 shares @ 68.7¢·now 68.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$870.94
$0.70
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
8588 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
6721 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$40.00May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$9.50May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?$50.00May 18, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$7.5KMay 18, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.85May 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.90May 17, 22:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.42May 16, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.79May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.2KMay 15, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.2KMay 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.62May 15, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.7KMay 15, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.6KMay 15, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.00May 15, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.00May 15, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.54May 15, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00May 15, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22.00May 15, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.60May 15, 02:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.00May 15, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $747.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".