0x6e1c1aba751e5ffcdd16b5c16136c4cdc2fccfb2
0x6e1c1aba751e5ffcdd16b5c16136c4cdc2fccfb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$101.16
Total PnL
$1.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
800 shares @ 7.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$84.04
$28.02
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.43
$-4.39
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
27 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.89
$0.14
- YES
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
8 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
58 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.76
$-0.99
- YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
54 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.82
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
49 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$31.16Apr 2, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$10.38Apr 2, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$10.82Apr 2, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.82Apr 2, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France pass a national budget by December 31?$4.00Apr 2, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$1.75Apr 2, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$5.75Apr 2, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$24.87Apr 2, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $12.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 08:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".