Sparkling-Dad
0x6e3f3c0913b42882878adc36c1c0ab8391ff4403
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$9.59
Total PnL
$-3.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.61
$0.01
- YES
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
NATO article 5 in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Ethereum above $2,700 on June 10?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$499.00Nov 14, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Nov 13, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$503.60Nov 13, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$1.00Oct 4, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Oct 4, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO article 5 in 2025?$1.00Oct 4, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.00Oct 4, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,400 on June 13?$1.37Oct 4, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $103,000 on June 13?$1.39Oct 4, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?$2.13Oct 4, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on June 13?$1.00Jun 8, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on June 13?$1.00Jun 8, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?$2.00Jun 8, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,700 on June 10?$1.00Jun 8, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0.00Jun 8, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMFear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?$1.30Jun 8, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recession before May 2025?$2.05Jun 8, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.99Mar 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recession before May 2025?$2.00Mar 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?$1.00Mar 13, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $27.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".