Happy-Go-Lucky-Lava
0x6e3f5301787fcce4c204bf6eb7dc7b1a11969ed2
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$231.90
Total PnL
$12.41
Realised
$20.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
600 shares @ 29.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$165.00
$-14.50
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
70 shares @ 44.6¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.25
$2.05
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
50 shares @ 53.9¢·now 54.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.48
$0.52
- YES
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
16 shares @ 15.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.18
$3.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$28.00May 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$16.00May 17, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$10.00May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$5.20May 17, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$26.95May 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$2.43May 17, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$32.21May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$24.46May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.13May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.32May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$24.66May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$8.40May 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$21.61May 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$100.30May 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$14.77May 16, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$25.18May 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$3.05May 16, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$6.45May 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$48.48May 16, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$9.42May 16, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".