Irritating-Transparency
0x6e81749ae7578ac46b44817fe0c663c83709864b
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$352.67
Total PnL
$-218.60
Realised
$17.76
Win rate
81%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
80 shares @ 57.3¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$34.00
$-11.80
- NO
Will David Fennell advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?
60 shares @ 71.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$27.00
$-16.00
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
23 shares @ 53.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$22.97
$10.48
- NO
Will NVIDIA Q1 adjusted gross margin be below 74%?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$19.80
$2.60
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.20
$10.20
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 70.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$17.10
$3.10
- NO
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.60
$-0.80
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$15.30
$9.30
- NO
Will David Collenberg advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 39.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.80
$6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$9.20May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$6.30May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$11.90May 18, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$8.76May 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$7.44May 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$1.93May 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.17May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.17May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.17May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.22May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.22May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.22May 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$1.62May 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.22May 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.22May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.22May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.11May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.11May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$0.11May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$12.20May 18, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".