Noted-Pathogenesis
0x6e85b0ce1cbc580806e09c4ef9756a66a8b61f81
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-17.3K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- NO
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1915 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.8K
$277.61
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1209 shares @ 59.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$349.27
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$945.00
$15.00
- NO
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$800.00
$330.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
2104 shares @ 23.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$473.43
$-26.57
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2380 shares @ 9.7¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.33
$-52.67
- YES
Celonis IPO before 2027?
725 shares @ 14.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.41
$-49.26
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
400 shares @ 11.7¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.99
$1.25
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
630 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.13
$-28.64
- YES
Will Monte win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
207 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.52
$-1.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$500.00May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$930.00May 18, 05:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$100.00May 17, 17:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$370.76May 9, 16:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $322.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".