Carefree-Complication
0x6e943f2dee3019bf70dee4ce5cf6f0bb0f3d3d35
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-10.6K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
13737 shares @ 49.4¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.0K
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
2738 shares @ 66.9¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$-148.76
- 90K
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
2011 shares @ 54.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$764.29
$-321.81
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
35000 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-948.15
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?
7500 shares @ 86.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.5K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2465 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-999.49
- NO
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
1235 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-999.86
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
154 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.94
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$5.27May 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$13.92May 10, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.8KMay 10, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$1.1KMay 10, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.34May 10, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.34May 10, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.86May 10, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$859.07May 10, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.5KMay 9, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$317.82May 9, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$186.20May 9, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$13.90May 9, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.17May 9, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$14.10May 9, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.89May 9, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$12.05May 9, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.88May 9, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.20May 9, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$965.29May 9, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.1KMay 9, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $298.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 06:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".