Harmful-Lobby
0x6e9ec974105f9a43ee35a4d1618065bc3f8f02b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-193.28
Realised
$-202.57
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1200 shares @ 90.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$29.40
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
600 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$572.99
$27.00
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
500 shares @ 91.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$465.00
$8.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
500 shares @ 84.5¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$464.75
$42.25
- NO
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
399 shares @ 95.3¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$376.51
$-3.79
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
300 shares @ 76.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$300.00
$70.00
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
300 shares @ 85.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$274.50
$19.50
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
250 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$233.75
$6.25
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 77.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$210.00
$-23.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
207 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.66
$3.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$100.00May 15, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$200.00May 15, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$24.99May 13, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$24.64May 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$73.92May 13, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$0.99May 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$24.64May 13, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$49.28May 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$36.98May 12, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$2.02May 12, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$279.00May 12, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$25.59May 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.30May 11, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.40May 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.43May 11, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.15May 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.43May 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$48.70May 11, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$190.00May 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$13.00May 10, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $78.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".