Calculating-Hops
0x6ea74119a27ce522559f42743a8753343435d0d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$395.94
Total PnL
$5.17
Realised
$-0.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$105.53
$5.53
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
67 shares @ 75.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$59.00
$9.00
- YES
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$56.58
$6.58
- NO
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?
96 shares @ 32.4¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.13
$-0.87
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?
31 shares @ 65.4¢·now 92.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.18
$8.18
- YES
Will "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
30 shares @ 54.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$20.15
$4.15
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
43 shares @ 35.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$18.64
$3.64
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
36 shares @ 70.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.89
$-9.11
- YES
Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
50 shares @ 19.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$13.38
$3.38
- YES
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?
29 shares @ 35.1¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$12.97
$2.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$5.15May 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?$2.18May 8, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$5.00May 8, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?$3.00May 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?$3.14May 8, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?$5.20May 8, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.13May 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$22.41May 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$15.44May 8, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$5.32May 6, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$4.06May 6, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.18May 5, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$25.61May 5, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$20.50May 5, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.39May 5, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$9.49May 5, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?$20.28May 5, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$20.50May 5, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?$0.00May 5, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?$0.00May 5, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $14.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 13:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".