Hard-To-Find-Indication
0x6ec8f924c90fcd6d2f4152596ca71de758c799d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
115
Open notional
$789.75
Total PnL
$-37.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
633 shares @ 31.6¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$199.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
100 shares @ 48.9¢·now 48.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$48.55
$-0.35
- YES
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$21.07
$1.07
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
18 shares @ 56.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$16.16
$5.64
- NO
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?
45 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$15.00
$0.00
- NO
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
18 shares @ 62.1¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$14.74
$3.50
- NO
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$14.00
$4.01
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.70
$4.70
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
46 shares @ 21.8¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.39
$1.39
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
14 shares @ 55.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.21
$3.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?$23.44May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$129.57May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.58May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.70May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.58May 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?$6.60May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.58May 18, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.58May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.58May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.58May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.58May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.11May 18, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$189.88May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.23May 18, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.45May 18, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?$0.00May 18, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.62May 18, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.82May 18, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$200.00May 18, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$31.55May 18, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $18.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".