Natural-Restriction
0x6f0e891c8531196ecae6ab1a0454d6636c323165
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$307.08
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$123.92
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
1200 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$53.40
$4.20
- YES
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$45.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$38.85
$-9.55
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2400 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$27.60
$-8.40
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
600 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.20
$0.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$18.50
$-41.50
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
400 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.60
$-10.40
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?
2000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 21, 2026$14.00
$-12.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.75
$-6.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$5.72May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$8.31May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$8.31May 18, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$5.20May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$1.72May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$3.01May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$2.93May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without failure?$8.28May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$0.06May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$26.00May 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$0.36May 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$0.02May 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$15.62May 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$14.01May 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$0.52May 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$0.27May 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$0.19May 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?$22.85May 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$19.20May 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$12.45May 17, 05:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".