Expert-Misplacement
0x6f40bd79f70ca03c59d7318dfebe22e65b55eb64
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$23.6K
Total PnL
$2.3K
Realised
$420.84
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11626 shares @ 41.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.0K
$3.2K
- NO
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
5389 shares @ 55.2¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.7K
$689.19
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
3354 shares @ 69.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$667.84
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
2440 shares @ 78.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$389.60
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
2492 shares @ 44.3¢·now 58.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.5K
$355.59
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
5423 shares @ 22.1¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.2K
$19.85
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
27371 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$889.55
$-54.25
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
22249 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$734.23
$-18.51
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2000 shares @ 40.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$569.80
$-230.20
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
22929 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$490.68
$-109.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.12May 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.26May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.30May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$86.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.98May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$3.08May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$32.65May 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.43May 17, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$118.68May 17, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$1.0KMay 17, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.75May 17, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$5.35May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$180.50May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$10.92May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$0.36May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$0.81May 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$0.70May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$1.42May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$0.81May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$0.16May 17, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $73.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".