Amused-Appreciation
0x6f460c9452f31b3afb3849d0d6ae58b6c1bc2cd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$907.18
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
1240 shares @ 48.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$623.76
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
1007 shares @ 86.6¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$840.71
$-31.17
- YES
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
406 shares @ 91.6¢·now 89.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$361.96
$-9.85
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
355 shares @ 80.1¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$305.99
$21.80
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
333 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$303.33
$3.33
- YES
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
807 shares @ 28.7¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$221.79
$-9.39
- YES
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
249 shares @ 83.5¢·now 83.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.43
$-0.46
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
170 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.45
$-2.55
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
120 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$108.60
$-0.60
- YES
SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?
86 shares @ 81.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.84
$2.51
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.48May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.69May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$171.41May 18, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$98.80May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$0.83May 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$250.19May 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$82.27May 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$221.98May 18, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$15.79May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$349.81May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$1.2KMay 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$27.42May 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$4.20May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$19.81May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.27May 17, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.55May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.77May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.93May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$2.77May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$27.46May 17, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $159.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 03:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".