Substantial-Loading
0x6f8bab6a6c2330c761604ce9736122f6cc5f56ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$130.68
Total PnL
$-173.16
Realised
$38.60
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
180 shares @ 8.3¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.40
$8.40
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
17 shares @ 53.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.73
$3.74
- YES
Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?
180 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$12.33
$3.33
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
36 shares @ 25.2¢·now 33.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.86
$2.86
- YES
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?
39 shares @ 23.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.15
$2.15
- YES
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
38 shares @ 24.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$10.68
$1.68
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
16 shares @ 55.3¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 68.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.40
$-0.60
- NO
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
16 shares @ 55.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.61
$-1.39
- YES
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
41 shares @ 22.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.15
$-1.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?$84.60May 18, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?$7.20May 17, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$9.21May 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$9.00May 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$9.00May 17, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$6.00May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$9.33May 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?$3.90May 15, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.15May 15, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?$9.00May 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?$2.30May 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$8.10May 15, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$4.93May 15, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$0.49May 15, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?$0.18May 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$10.52May 15, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$6.63May 15, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$8.03May 15, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$9.00May 15, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$9.72May 15, 10:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 09:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".