Elliptical-Handholding
0x6fc41178f2fef13c8e2c74112023f7afaf3008cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-19.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5074 shares @ 71.5¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
90000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$855.00
$-64.98
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
468 shares @ 73.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$446.69
$105.39
- NO
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
441 shares @ 89.3¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$374.71
$-18.84
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
14279 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$305.57
$37.62
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
300 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$289.35
$7.35
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 59.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$108.50
$-310.50
- NO
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
174 shares @ 65.2¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.94
$-40.25
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
62 shares @ 91.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$59.95
$3.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?$28.71May 12, 20:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$109.17May 10, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$13.83May 10, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$282.68May 10, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$390.44May 10, 17:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?$140.00May 9, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$148.10May 9, 23:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.79May 7, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?$45.00May 7, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $100.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".