Turbulent-Toaster
0x6fd15fd752cf5c9af3da8796050f0d9988547cfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$66.67
Total PnL
$-36.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.34
$1.34
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.11
$1.11
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.88
$-0.12
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.92
$-1.08
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
49 shares @ 14.3¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.19
$-3.81
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
42 shares @ 35.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.58
$-13.42
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$9.32May 11, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?$10.04May 11, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$8.04May 11, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?$11.49May 11, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$10.00May 9, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?$2.05May 8, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?$10.04May 8, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$2.07May 8, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?$10.05May 7, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$10.06May 7, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$10.06May 7, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$10.06May 7, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.16May 3, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: April$12.51Apr 29, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$2.00Apr 29, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00Apr 29, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$12.45Apr 29, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?$5.08Apr 28, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$0.00Apr 28, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$2.00Apr 27, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $14.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".