Thunderous-Adoption
0x6ff9c17ae359560fb622c86149df2fb978490141
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$57.00
Total PnL
$-149.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
215 shares @ 22.3¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.68
$-24.32
- YES
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?
40 shares @ 30.2¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.89
$4.89
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.98
$-3.02
- YES
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?
10 shares @ 9.9¢·now 40.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.11
$3.10
- YES
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.90
$-3.10
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.58
$-3.42
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.87
$-4.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
103 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?
66 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
64 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$3.11May 17, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.61May 17, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$7.89May 8, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 6-8 times in May?$1.04May 8, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$5.00May 6, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 6, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.10May 6, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$2.09May 6, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.09May 6, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$8.11May 6, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$10.17May 6, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$5.17May 6, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$15.50May 5, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.89May 5, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$12.25May 5, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of April?$29.47May 5, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$12.50May 5, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$5.00Apr 23, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".