Excellent-Oval
0x700b84de0cda2b61b45f427d49da0d2f21b3aa3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$135.26
Total PnL
$-187.83
Realised
$-15.30
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
51 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.24
$0.79
- NO
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$34.84
$9.88
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
32 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$32.00
$1.82
- NO
Will Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
16 shares @ 90.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.15
$1.47
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.93
$0.37
- NO
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
4 shares @ 87.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$-2.38
- YES
Turkish forces in Gaza in 2025?
158 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.21
- NO
Will fewer than 20 tornadoes occur in the United States in November?
107 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.14
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 2?
87 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$35.00Feb 27, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$24.00Jan 30, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Clooney be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$27.00Jan 30, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Shula be the next Giants Head Coach?$2.00Jan 20, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?$1.00Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Egg" or "Gasoline" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?$1.00Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have more than 7 inches of precipitation in December?$2.97Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 3%?$4.56Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 20 tornadoes occur in the United States in November?$7.00Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces new drug boat strike by December 5?$8.01Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?$13.16Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMBrex IPO in 2025?$14.00Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$15.00Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMHumidiFi FDV above $700M one day after launch?$20.00Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?$21.00Jan 16, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?$21.00Jan 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Walz" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$23.00Jan 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMNew pandemic in 2025?$34.00Jan 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Amish" or "Rancher" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$35.20Jan 12, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?$37.00Jan 12, 04:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $23.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".