Sociable-Quartet
0x702226b14b65b1c8d05ff51759e095f09932f64e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$30.1K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-3.0K
Win rate
39%
137 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
846 shares @ 83.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$844.21
$136.27
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1290 shares @ 81.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$819.33
$-230.48
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
669 shares @ 78.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$668.53
$142.45
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
801 shares @ 61.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$660.56
$168.42
- NO
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
607 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$598.20
$9.92
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
831 shares @ 68.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$568.72
$-1.37
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
556 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$555.06
$24.28
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
967 shares @ 48.9¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$546.19
$73.24
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
714 shares @ 85.2¢·now 75.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$536.22
$-71.54
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
495 shares @ 76.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$472.60
$94.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.66May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.66May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.66May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?$35.37May 15, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$0.00May 15, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?$30.89May 15, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$438.73May 15, 07:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.66May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.66May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.66May 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$0.00May 12, 23:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.66May 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$20.19May 11, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$299.78May 11, 15:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.66May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.66May 10, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$890.35May 9, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$0.00May 9, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$0.00May 9, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.00May 9, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 137 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".