Plush-Thong
0x702817724413a316e67b25aa13200444937fe0e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$110.10
Realised
$-9.09
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
124 shares @ 71.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.73
$-6.20
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
84 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$82.53
$7.77
- NO
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?
79 shares @ 80.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.13
$-1.19
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
106 shares @ 58.9¢·now 54.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$57.70
$-4.70
- NO
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?
60 shares @ 89.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$57.33
$3.75
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
66 shares @ 32.3¢·now 70.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.03
$25.59
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 56.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.17
$7.17
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
48 shares @ 52.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$41.95
$17.18
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
40 shares @ 74.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$35.68
$5.92
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
36 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.57
$4.57
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.67May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$2.72May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$32.00May 17, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$30.00May 17, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tuyo launch a token by March 31, 2027?$13.85May 17, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$5.90May 17, 15:30 UTC
- REWARD$2.95May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?$4.54May 16, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$0.09May 16, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$22.91May 16, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$30.00May 16, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$1.85May 16, 00:49 UTC
- REWARD$3.64May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?$69.60May 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$7.14May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$2.16May 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$263.73May 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$1.10May 15, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$224.91May 15, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$22.00May 15, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $21.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 02:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".