Afraid-Pentagon
0x70a9e5e6c57c3cb20f52523ccb49a1145bcc6a74
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
1333 shares @ 51.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$601.11
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1150 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$5.75
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
1146 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.0K
$97.41
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
2507 shares @ 23.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$639.31
$62.89
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
1130 shares @ 19.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$519.80
$305.10
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
455 shares @ 44.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$116.03
$-84.17
- NO
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
178 shares @ 26.1¢·now 60.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$106.80
$60.32
- NO
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
83 shares @ 38.9¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.39
$27.08
- NO
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
178 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.94
- NO
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
92 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$1.4KMay 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.0KMay 15, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$598.61May 15, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$316.35May 15, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?$549.70May 12, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$915.27May 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$4.48May 8, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$0.57May 7, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?$32.31May 7, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$42.00May 7, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$0.97May 7, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$6.94May 7, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$3.00May 3, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.09May 3, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.00May 3, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.08May 3, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$9.80May 2, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$204.68May 2, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$912.94May 2, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$5.18May 2, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $239.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 20:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".