Near-Default
0x7119108b7b74d203f4bb2546a3f2b9ba2ebc1af8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$38.66
Total PnL
$-7.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$3.70
$2.70
- NO
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.23
$2.23
- YES
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.86
$1.86
- YES
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by March 31?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.38
$1.38
- NO
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- SEA
Big Game: First Timeout?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.96
$0.96
- YES
Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- NO
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.70
$0.70
- ISRAEL
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.54
$0.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelosi vs. S&P - January$1.00Jan 31, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSerbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?$1.00Jan 31, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? $1.00Jan 31, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fomo.family be acquired in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coingecko be acquired in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$1.00Jan 31, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?$1.00Jan 31, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump flip the bird again in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.00Jan 31, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?$1.00Jan 31, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?$1.00Jan 31, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?$1.00Jan 31, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?$1.00Jan 31, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MoistCr1TiKaL get a haircut in 2026? $1.00Jan 31, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Binance launch stock tokens in 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 18:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".