Shady-Butler
0x714e1a0b7045adda39440599b768e6c5c717beee
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-264.75
Realised
$-41.55
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
107 shares @ 74.9¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.07
$12.07
- NO
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
97 shares @ 95.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$88.95
$-3.15
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
86 shares @ 93.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$82.63
$2.63
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
121 shares @ 66.3¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$78.13
$-1.87
- NO
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
77 shares @ 92.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.19
$5.42
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
81 shares @ 92.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$69.81
$-4.74
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
76 shares @ 93.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$69.63
$-1.51
- NO
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 67.2¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$55.71
$4.44
- NO
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
54 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.97
$2.19
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
54 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$49.91
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.62May 18, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.56May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$80.21May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$80.80May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$5.22May 17, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.14May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$161.69May 16, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$35.92May 16, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$44.40May 16, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$6.83May 16, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.60May 16, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$1.97May 15, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$32.16May 15, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$4.98May 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$4.79May 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$4.71May 15, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$31.38May 15, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$34.47May 11, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.33May 11, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.62May 11, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $18.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".