Ordinary-Amusement
0x71664b22a63b07293a5bd377df30a3e77ca5f815
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$212.81
Total PnL
$-511.96
Realised
$32.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
692 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.60
$-6.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
15 shares @ 38.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.98
$-1.73
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$-0.11
- YES
Deel IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 25.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.20
$-0.04
- YES
Will "Six Seven" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
732 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-153.72
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
659 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-177.93
- YES
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?
306 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-149.94
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
253 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-32.85
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 105 billion views by December 31?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.88
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
6 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$214.52Apr 7, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$214.02Mar 30, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$214.02Mar 30, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$75.60Mar 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?$138.38Mar 25, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$75.60Mar 25, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$75.00Mar 24, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 477 million subscribers by April 30?$123.42Mar 23, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$65.00Mar 23, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Twice release a song in 2026?$83.59Mar 22, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLDeel IPO before 2027?$79.92Mar 21, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Jamie" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$25.96Mar 21, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jamie" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$193.52Mar 21, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeel IPO before 2027?$54.25Mar 20, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Twice release a song in 2026?$237.81Mar 20, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$485.28Mar 19, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$458.32Mar 17, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Beast in Me win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?$20.00Mar 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$57.70Mar 16, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$242.03Mar 16, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $157.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".