Homely-Joint
0x716934e59ade35d8c7469816542e368e744e3ca6
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$96.88
Total PnL
$-1.97
Realised
$-1.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
30 shares @ 97.3¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$26.75
$-2.82
- NO
Will Starmer say "Political Stunt" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
16 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$14.38
$0.08
- YES
Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?
11 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$10.58
$1.07
- NO
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
13 shares @ 88.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$10.26
$-1.31
- NO
Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
10 shares @ 77.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$9.18
$1.03
- NO
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
9 shares @ 73.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$7.06
$0.62
- NO
Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
7 shares @ 47.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$4.59
$1.37
- NO
Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
6 shares @ 73.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.95
$-0.53
- NO
Will Starmer say "Green" or "Greens" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
7 shares @ 60.3¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.37
$-1.10
- NO
Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.41
$1.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$5.16May 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$1.87May 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$1.01May 15, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?$1.51May 15, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Trump" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$0.00May 15, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Trump" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$1.03May 11, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Campaign" in Michigan?$0.00May 9, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" in Michigan?$0.00May 9, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Disgusting" be said during the CS BLAST Rivals Grand Final?$0.00May 9, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Iran" in Michigan?$0.00May 9, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "One Percent" or "One Percenter" 3+ times in Michigan?$0.00May 9, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Healthcare" in Michigan?$0.00May 9, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Poverty" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.06May 5, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.03May 5, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.33May 5, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.29May 5, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.50May 5, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.71May 5, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.73May 5, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.75May 5, 19:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 02:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".