Immaterial-Jalapeño
0x71d2c29714474055e78bd3982dcfc034d28ae109
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$231.64
Total PnL
$-436.13
Realised
$-62.09
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
381 shares @ 85.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$184.78
$-139.06
- YES
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
59 shares @ 81.4¢·now 43.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.90
$-22.12
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
14 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.29
$-0.21
- NO
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?
9 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.05
$0.23
- NO
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$0.06
- NO
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$0.04
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
1 shares @ 20.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.56
$0.35
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
2 shares @ 31.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.06
$-0.56
- YES
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?
616 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-87.93
- YES
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
293 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-61.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00May 8, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?$5.00May 8, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.00Apr 9, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$216.00Apr 9, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 24, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 24, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$22.00Mar 24, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Chan-wook be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$29.00Feb 10, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $61.00Feb 10, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?$431.60Feb 8, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?$285.67Feb 8, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$15.99Feb 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLStefon Diggs arrested by March 31?$43.40Feb 8, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLStefon Diggs arrested by March 31?$31.60Feb 8, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStefon Diggs arrested by March 31?$35.20Feb 8, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$447.12Jan 11, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$95.58Jan 11, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?$44.80Jan 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFreddie Mac IPO before 2027?$43.52Jan 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$22.96Jan 11, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $108.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".