Lumpy-Instruction
0x71e49814a7555da5f2b44f9bcb24e2dbfa892381
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$173.77
Total PnL
$-41.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
294 shares @ 21.8¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$82.43
$18.27
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.00
$22.00
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
94 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.59
$-1.41
- YES
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.07
$3.07
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
1979 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.94
$-4.06
- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
1745 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.49
$-3.51
- YES
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
25 shares @ 39.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.14
$-6.86
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
764 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.06
$-6.94
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
816 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.86
$-7.14
- YES
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 35.4¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.54
$-7.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$9.97May 16, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$10.00May 16, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$11.08May 14, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?$11.10May 14, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$12.37May 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$12.19May 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$42.66May 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCritical Discord Incident by May 31?$10.35May 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?$15.00May 12, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$15.63May 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$20.00May 12, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$10.00May 12, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$10.00May 12, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?$7.00May 12, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00May 12, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$10.00May 12, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$10.00May 12, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$153.85May 12, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$14.00May 2, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$10.39May 1, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $12.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 23:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".