Excitable-Pub
0x720dc97f38b9988d3b3b033e8f156fd4e82fea38
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$25.5K
Total PnL
$749.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
15848 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.6K
$646.72
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
6799 shares @ 93.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.5K
$137.98
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
3131 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.1K
$53.67
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3600 shares @ 9.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$268.20
$-85.59
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
10 shares @ 64.5¢·now 29.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-3.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$950.00May 7, 09:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.0KMay 3, 10:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 1, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $654.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".