Immediate-Geology
0x734c9351bdb7e4ae00a449fe62a06c61b5971d86
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$479.94
Total PnL
$-328.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
447 shares @ 23.6¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$140.72
$35.25
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
188 shares @ 37.3¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$134.25
$64.25
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1036 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.94
$-16.15
- YES
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
503 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.81
$-7.55
- YES
US x China Military clash before 2027?
617 shares @ 9.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.93
$-23.78
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.44
$3.44
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
170 shares @ 11.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.63
$-7.37
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.82
$-0.18
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.87
$-2.13
- NO
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
46 shares @ 10.8¢·now 11.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.53
$0.53
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $57.82May 13, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$58.41May 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$6.47May 13, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.71May 13, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$71.16May 13, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$71.80May 13, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$16.57May 13, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$16.72May 13, 04:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $23.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".