Common-Settlement
0x73684d5a11da8d3ca5086c930b88dc0bd8233e51
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$32.35
Total PnL
$-816.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
30 shares @ 60.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.65
$10.65
- YES
Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
123 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$3.70
$-17.30
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
1300 shares @ 30.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-392.41
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
1000 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-336.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
140 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-81.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$50.00May 3, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$99.99May 3, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$36.00Apr 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$5.61Apr 14, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$13.86Apr 14, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$61.43Apr 14, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$5.09Apr 14, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$161.26Apr 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$1.58Apr 14, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$73.16Apr 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$295.06Apr 14, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 14, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$0.00Apr 14, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 14, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$15.00Apr 14, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?$199.99Apr 14, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$400.00Apr 14, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$684.99Apr 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$100.00Apr 13, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $70.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".