Arid-Cinema
0x73d225c851df25d73b14846a370bdeef9434f9b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$35.8K
Total PnL
$-929.80
Realised
$47.00
Win rate
69%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
2594 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.6K
$73.93
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
2000 shares @ 97.4¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$-23.00
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$-30.00
- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
2000 shares @ 85.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$-20.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1800 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$81.00
- NO
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
1740 shares @ 96.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.6K
$-27.84
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1600 shares @ 92.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$0.80
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
2397 shares @ 73.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-371.52
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1737 shares @ 66.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$165.02
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
2000 shares @ 46.0¢·now 56.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$202.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$0.60May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$10.00May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$10.54May 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$3.06May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$10.54May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$4.85May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$10.54May 18, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$10.54May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$9.92May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$9.92May 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$9.92May 18, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$9.92May 18, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$9.92May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$9.92May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$9.92May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$850.00May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$587.63May 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$2.09May 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$6.20May 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$1.00May 18, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $96.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".