Phony-Viability
0x742ff6df87485287bb4db5b0d7fa7af13047d673
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$394.46
Win rate
59%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
230 shares @ 71.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$178.25
$12.90
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?
220 shares @ 55.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$159.50
$38.40
- NO
Will Jerami Grant win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
140 shares @ 70.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$140.00
$41.40
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?
190 shares @ 63.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$133.95
$13.32
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?
137 shares @ 74.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$131.52
$30.03
- YES
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
221 shares @ 48.4¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$124.84
$17.75
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?
123 shares @ 62.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$112.33
$36.05
- NO
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
99 shares @ 64.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.23
$35.40
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?
100 shares @ 66.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$78.00
$11.98
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?
80 shares @ 64.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$74.00
$22.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jack Eichel win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$1.01Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$2.10Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?$5.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?$7.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Bucks$10.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the San Jose Sharks win the Pacific Division?$10.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?$10.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMPurdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. IU Indy Jaguars$10.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia Rodrigo release a new song in 2026?$16.67Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$38.79Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMQuerétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5$40.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?$41.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$50.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houston Rockets finish with the best record in the NBA?$50.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?$50.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?$82.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?$90.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ron Eller be the Republican Nominee for MS-02?$99.71Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons finish with the best record in the NBA?$100.00Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".