Earnest-Thickness
0x74519f4e7d745d43cf328efdd438a43bd0cd3022
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$6.55
Total PnL
$-174.28
Realised
$1.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.85
$0.05
- NO
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.90
$0.90
- NO
Will Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
230 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.62
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
90 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Will Solana reach $270 in October?
90 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?
50 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET
40 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 2?
30 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-22.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 22?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.80May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.00May 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.37May 11, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2026?$0.63May 7, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$13.00Mar 30, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$11.60Mar 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.47Feb 25, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.46Feb 23, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1AM ET$10.00Feb 23, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1AM ET$4.90Jan 26, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$0.13Jan 26, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$0.25Jan 26, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$0.25Jan 26, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$0.37Jan 26, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$0.49Jan 26, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$9.31Jan 26, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMSentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$10.00Jan 26, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$7.80Jan 22, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4AM ET$9.80Jan 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2AM ET$1.00Jan 22, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".