Eager-Research
0x74744886d1081ab236510e04c5b617b914a3cef7
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$106.35
Total PnL
$-213.55
Realised
$-11.41
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- NO
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.53
$14.55
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
14 shares @ 13.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$14.41
$12.41
- YES
Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
13 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$12.50
$10.38
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.87
$8.90
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
13 shares @ 17.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.13
$7.00
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
8 shares @ 27.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$7.23
$5.15
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
13 shares @ 17.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.06
$4.94
- NO
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$6.31
$4.34
- NO
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 52.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.82
$3.70
- YES
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$5.27
$3.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$2.08Apr 24, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$2.13Apr 19, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$2.06Apr 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$2.13Apr 19, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 18, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2.09Apr 18, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$5.27Apr 15, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026?$2.00Apr 14, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?$2.03Apr 14, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.11Apr 14, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$2.08Apr 14, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.67Apr 13, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.15Apr 13, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$2.13Apr 12, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$2.09Apr 12, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$2.13Apr 12, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?$2.08Apr 12, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.10Apr 12, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the CT-05 House seat?$1.36Apr 12, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?$11.12Apr 12, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".