Harmless-Prior
0x74b853b8abcb97ef278f4c442e8091de36e40c87
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$862.04
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$37.32
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
758 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$758.00
$295.62
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
513 shares @ 25.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$58.99
$-69.25
- NO
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.72
$1.52
- NO
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
544 shares @ 22.8¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$17.68
$-106.35
- YES
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
16 shares @ 22.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.16
$4.64
- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.48
$-0.36
- NO
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 22-28)
1147 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- SHANGHAI DRAGONS
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi
848 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-437.57
- UNDER
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5
790 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-426.60
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
558 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-139.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi$294.12Apr 23, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi$143.45Apr 23, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$456.50Apr 14, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$812.00Apr 14, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$51.36Apr 9, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$131.46Apr 9, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$181.44Apr 9, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$119.84Apr 8, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$124.03Apr 7, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$119.20Apr 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$328.68Apr 7, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Delayed" or "Delay" during March press conference?$692.00Mar 30, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Delayed" or "Delay" during March press conference?$435.96Mar 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor Space Weather event this week? (March 22-28)$1.0KMar 17, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?$0.57Mar 17, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Mar 17, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dying for Sex win Best Producer of a TV Limited or Anthology Series at the 37th PGA Awards?$10.00Mar 17, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMNancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?$593.00Mar 17, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMDundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5$850.00Mar 17, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$128.25Mar 16, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $180.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".