Everlasting-Institute
0x74d4833b5ab42d46ac853dbeb6af2f8fda1c8fcd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$188.01
Total PnL
$19.80
Realised
$69.66
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
56 shares @ 2.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.86
$37.36
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.83
$30.83
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
125 shares @ 1.1¢·now 17.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$21.69
$20.28
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
74 shares @ 8.7¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.26
$5.76
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
57 shares @ 17.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.52
$-0.48
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.23
$-1.77
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.10
$5.10
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
11 shares @ 14.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.27
$4.77
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
41 shares @ 7.3¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.71
$2.71
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
101 shares @ 3.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$5.61
$2.61
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.99May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.78May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina$2.03May 16, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$10.00May 16, 17:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?$1.55May 13, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?$1.05May 13, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$3.15May 13, 21:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?$14.29May 12, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$17.54May 12, 21:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.9% in April?$1.05May 9, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by ≥1.1% in April?$1.05May 9, 22:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".