Criminal-Raisin
0x74e6c1260ac5448c00eb63e1f6894ecd090c99e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$689.89
Realised
$-76.81
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
1634 shares @ 82.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.6K
$279.16
- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 60.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1000.00
$395.00
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
1000 shares @ 94.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 18, 2026$972.48
$24.00
- NO
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
802 shares @ 80.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$725.83
$83.00
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1000 shares @ 25.3¢·now 58.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$585.50
$332.50
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
494 shares @ 68.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$446.96
$109.19
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
600 shares @ 66.5¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$381.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 44.4¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$315.50
$-128.50
- YES
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
450 shares @ 51.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$299.18
$67.24
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
393 shares @ 37.7¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$290.67
$142.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$263.63May 18, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$4.17May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$183.45May 17, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$292.54May 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$59.95May 17, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$237.65May 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$174.89May 17, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.5KMay 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.01May 17, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.01May 17, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.02May 17, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.01May 17, 01:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.99May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.02May 16, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.5KMay 16, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$4.20May 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$7.66May 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$242.97May 16, 22:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $254.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 22:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".