Vivacious-Manatee
0x750b32534068fdf016a8e8edc6b65fec84597a65
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$400.24
Total PnL
$-106.73
Realised
$80.05
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
188 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$188.00
$165.44
- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
284 shares @ 86.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$139.16
$-105.08
- NO
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?
42 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.00
$14.70
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
16 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$16.00
$3.04
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
5 shares @ 74.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$5.00
$1.27
- YES
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?
11 shares @ 51.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.81
$-2.81
- YES
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
4 shares @ 29.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.46
$0.30
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
4 shares @ 90.2¢·now 35.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.40
$-2.21
- NO
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$1.00
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLthreadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?$22.08Feb 8, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$188.02Feb 8, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$49.98Feb 8, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$38.28Feb 8, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$86.46Feb 8, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMOver $12M committed to the Space public sale?$47.00Jan 12, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strike in Russia on 24 November 2025?$79.00Jan 12, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strike in Russia on 29 November 2025?$113.00Jan 12, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLCerebras IPO before 2027?$88.06Jan 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLCerebras IPO before 2027?$335.96Jan 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$84.87Jan 11, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?$18.48Jan 11, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?$145.86Jan 11, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO before 2027?$412.56Jan 11, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$8.20Jan 11, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$8.20Jan 11, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$8.20Jan 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$7.40Jan 11, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?$8.20Jan 11, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$244.24Jan 11, 05:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $148.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".