Smug-Chemical
0x754682ef0d89f46bf9bf6b4902b7fb033bdb1293
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$55.19
Total PnL
$-1.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 85.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$13.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 82.1¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$12.19
$-0.81
- NO
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 80.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$8.47
$-3.53
- YES
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$7.57
$-0.43
- DOWN
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 18?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Will Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
9 shares @ 10.9¢·now 30.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.81
$1.79
- NO
Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.89
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 18?$2.50May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 15?$3.13May 16, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?$6.12May 16, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?$3.29May 16, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?$5.29May 16, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 15?$2.32May 16, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 15?$4.26May 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?$2.00May 15, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?$1.00May 15, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?$1.00May 15, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?$3.00May 15, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 15?$1.00May 15, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?$1.00May 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 15?$2.00May 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 15?$1.01May 15, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?$2.00May 15, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.00May 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 15?$1.01May 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 15?$1.00May 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 15?$1.00May 15, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".