Glossy-Believer
0x764b305694b026c1acce7bf862c3b5456a146bad
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$14.54
Total PnL
$-10.1K
Realised
$-951.66
Win rate
11%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
645 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-9.61
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
638 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.96
$-32.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1118 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.56
$-42.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1118 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.56
$-42.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1118 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.56
$-42.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1118 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.56
$-42.45
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
1012 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.51
$-52.76
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
1012 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.51
$-52.76
- YES
Will Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
998 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.50
$-49.41
- YES
Will Robert Wells Jr. be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
998 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.50
$-49.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$6.30May 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$4.99May 18, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$29.42May 18, 09:23 UTC
- CONVERSIONNext James Bond actor?$30.00May 18, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPaul Mescal announced as next James Bond?$29.94May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?$25.23May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJack Lowdon announced as next James Bond?$29.97May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$29.86May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Hardy announced as next James Bond?$29.91May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?$29.97May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Collier announced as next James Bond?$29.97May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTheo James announced as next James Bond?$29.91May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?$29.97May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland announced as next James Bond?$29.63May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?$17.98May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 46 million views on day 2?$29.83May 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$29.94May 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$2.20May 18, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$22.49May 18, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $25.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".