Watchful-Ketchup
0x768a663f18532874ab04b974f75d7570c2424f50
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$91.29
Total PnL
$-40.12
Realised
$11.07
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- NO
Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
24 shares @ 14.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$9.16
$5.82
- NO
Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?
8 shares @ 36.8¢·now 96.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$8.16
$5.03
- YES
Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
15 shares @ 39.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$7.88
$2.02
- NO
Will Starmer say "Labour" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
15 shares @ 38.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$7.58
$1.88
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?
15 shares @ 4.0¢·now 47.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.16
$6.55
- YES
Will Declan Rice record the most red cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
14 shares @ 8.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.95
$4.86
- YES
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$4.83
$2.43
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
29 shares @ 43.5¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$4.30
$-8.17
- YES
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
15 shares @ 44.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$4.27
$-2.33
- YES
Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?
60 shares @ 27.2¢·now 7.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$4.20
$-12.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?$9.31May 15, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?$6.30May 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Bret Baier interview?$0.49May 15, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Bret Baier interview?$0.49May 15, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$17.75May 15, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$30.02May 15, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$7.35May 14, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.00May 14, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.59May 14, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.49May 14, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.21May 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.56May 14, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$8.35May 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.04May 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.66May 13, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.00May 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.86May 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.85May 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.45May 13, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.17May 13, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".